Home Articles The Iranian uprising and Trita Parsi´s disarray,Ha ssan Daioleslam
The Iranian uprising and Trita Parsi´s disarray,Ha ssan Daioleslam Print E-mail



August 24, 2009
The uprising in Iran has taken many by surprise. However, for Trita Parsi, it supersedes surprise and borders on total disarray. He is the president of NIAC (National Iranian American Council). The governmental press in Tehran labeled NIAC the Iranian lobby in the US.1

To understand Mr. Parsi´s true state of mind, let´s revisit the post election days when millions of Iranians poured to the street braving bullets, batons, torture and rape. With millions shouting anti regime slogans, government´s ruthless repression and a fractured regime, the absolute majority of Iran experts concluded that this time around, the movement is irreversible and the regime´s future is uncertain. As a result, they concluded that the Iranian regime can not and will not enter any serious engagement with the West over its nuclear program. But, Trita Parsi, refusing to come in terms with the failure of his decade long pro-Iranian advocacy, found a genuine bizarre explanation. In an interview with Laura Rozen of "Cable" news website he declared2: "A possible motive for the alleged vote fix was to preserve a united hard line regime that could engage with the U.S., without the internal rifts that plagued Iran the last time it had a Reformist president split from the harder-line clerical establishment".

How could someone possibly present this fractured regime as a united power? Parsi´s outlandish imagination did not stop here. He has also discovered that the uprising is approaching an early demise. In a peculiar article titled: "The end of the beginning" (making a mockery of the commonly used term "the beginning of the end" of mullah´s theocracy) he wrote:3

"Iran's popular uprising, which began after the June 12 election, may be heading for a premature ending. In many ways, the Ahmadinejad government has succeeded in transforming what was a mass movement into dispersed pockets of unrest. Whatever is now left of this mass movement is now leaderless, unorganized -- and under the risk of being hijacked by groups outside Iran in pursuit of their own political agendas."

Several weeks have passed and the uprising has not died yet. Moreover, it became clear that the regime is far from the "united power" that Parsi proclaimed. It was time for a 180-degree reversal; this time he discovered the risk of engagement with Iran. In an article titled "The case for a tactical pause with Iran" he explains the reason of his anguish: 4

"No one said diplomacy with Iran would be easy. And now, before it even started, the Iranian election crisis has left Tehran politically paralyzed and Washington without a clear diplomatic path ahead… Opening talks with Iran's current government at this decisive moment could backfire severely. Indeed, now is the time for a tactical pause with Iran.

Iran currently is not in a position to negotiate. Some in Washington believe that the paralysis in Tehran has weakened Iran and made it more prone to compromise. But rather than delivering more, Iran's government currently couldn't deliver anything at all. The infighting has simply incapacitated Iranian decision makers.

The worst scenario is another one: where the parties begin talks according to the set timetable, but fail to reach an agreement due to an inability to deliver. If talks fail, U.S. policymakers will be left with increasingly unpalatable options as a result."

What a reversal! For more than a decade, Parsi has led a campaign presenting the Iranian regime as the victim of a hostile US policy that refuses to have a civil dialogue with Tehran. In 2006, he and a group of peace organizations and their affiliates claimed that the US has refused to engage in a dialogue with Iran for the past 26 years.5 According to Parsi, Israel is responsible for US-Iran impasse: "Israel is playing hardball to prevent Washington from cutting a deal with Tehran that could benefit America, but deprive Israel of its military and strategic supremacy." 6

Now, a baffled Trita Parsi is telling that the US should not to go to the negotiation table because the Iranian regime is unable to deliver and this failure could lead the US to the "wrong" conclusion that engaging Iran is useless.

Could it be that the reason for Mr. Parsi´s peculiar and confused prophecies is the fear that the spirally downward fate of Khamenei´s regime is accelerated? Or probably the US would finally realize that engaging Iran has been merely a mirage, fabricated and made up by the pro-Tehran lobby?

Notes:

1. Ghuds Daily, April 21, 2007 http://www.qudsdaily.com/archive/1386/html/2/1386-02-01/page61.html

2. Laura Rozen Blog, June 26, 2009 http://thecable.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2009/06/26/the_iran_chessboard_as_seen_by_team_obama

3. Foreign Policy, June 26, 2009 http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2009/06/26/the_end_of_the_beginning

4. Foreign Policy, July 39, 2009, Make them wait, Case for a tactical pause http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2009/07/30/make_them_wait

5. Statement signed by Parsi and several anti-war groups, 3.8.2007 http://www.downsizedc.org/blog/no_war_with_iran_coalition_570

6. Parsi: "A challenge to Israel's strategic primacy" at: http://www.bitterlemons-international.org/inside.php?id=468

 

http://www.americanchronicle.com/articles/view/115882

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other articles by Hassan Daioleslam

 

Hassan Daioleslam is an independent writer and Iran Analyst. He is well published and has appeared as an expert guest in the Voice of America-TV as well as other Persian media. Daioleslam has three decades of history of political activism and political scholarly analysis.

Articles by Hassan

The Iranian uprising and Trita Parsi´s disarray
August 24, 2009
The uprising in Iran has taken many by surprise.
The Iranian revolt and the role of pro- appeasement lobby in the US
June 18, 2009
Now, in 2009, after a large dose of the American good-will gestures and friendly overtures, the Iranian regime has once again imposed Ahmadinejad upon its own nation and the world for the second time. It is predictable that the same "Iran experts" would probably blame Obama for not being generous enough towards the Mullahs.
Obama's Policy Toward Iran
May 03, 2009
Over the past four months, the Obama administration has been sending good will signals to the Iranian regime and has confirmed its policy of overture toward Tehran.
Brzezinski and the Iranian Bomb
March 20, 2009
Co-Written with Keyvan Kaboli On March 5th, Zbigniew Brzezinski, the former US National Security advisor under President Carter testified before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee elaborating on the U.S. policy toward a nuclear Iran.
Iranian regime's Recycling circus
February 16, 2009
Mohammad Khatami's recent candidacy for presidency illustrates Mullahs masterful art in selling an archaic political system as an example of good governance and indigenous democracy. The United States has been so far one of the prime consumers of this Iranian "democratic" masquerade
Iranian regime, the War in Gaza and Trita Parsi
February 04, 2009
The Iranian regime's role in fueling radicalism in the Middle East and its part of responsibility for the recent war in Gaza and the misery and heavy casualty of its innocent people, merits studious and objective scrutiny by the experts.
Questions about a New Conference on Iran
January 26, 2009
The Center for Middle Eastern Studies at Rutgers University will be hosting a two-day conference1 on the theme of "The Iranian Revolution: Thirty Years" on the weekend of February 7-8th, 2009.
Twelve years of pro-Tehran lobby
December 12, 2008
the cost has been added confusion in the US policy towards Iran, a climate of misinformation and misrepresentation of Iran related facts in the US congress, and empowerment of a web of Iranian influence in America. This in turn has meant more suffering for the Iranian people, higher casualties for the American forces in the region, .and the scary prospect of the nuclear mullahs.
Today's Iran Experts' report was already published in 2007
November 18, 2008
• Were the experts told by Trita Parsi that the lion's share of the report was already published by Trita Parsi as the sole author? • As the report was widely distributed to the media, were they told that the material in it is not that timely and has already been published a year earlier? The National Iranian American Council (NIAC) is hosting an event in the U.S. Senate tomorrow (Nov.
Iranian-Americans: the key to dismantle the Iranian regime's lobby in the US
November 12, 2008
After several months of discussions, a group of Iranian Americans finally converged and founded the "Progressive American-Iranian Committee" (PAIC).
Dining with Ahmadinejad
September 24, 2008
Co-written wit Keyvan Kaboli On September 25th 2008, five American religious groups will host the Iranian president Mahmood Ahmadinejad, as they did last year during his 2007 visit to the UN.
Robert Mugabe and the Iranian regime
July 15, 2008
The recent parody of presidential election in Zimbabwe has caused disgust and disappointment in the world.
Did NIAC Defraud the National Endowment for Democracy and Congress?
June 18, 2008
National Iranian American Council (NIAC) and its president Trita Parsi have arranged to receive congressional appropriated funds from the National Endowment for Democracy (NED) through an expedited process.
An Iranian Embassy in Boston
June 09, 2008
An Iranian Embassy in Boston While McCain and Obama are dueling whether they should engage or contain Iran, the world is waking up to the Iranian regime´s proxies infiltrating Iraq, Lebanon, Afghanistan, Yemen, and Gaza.
Flirting with the Mullahs
April 05, 2008
Mohammad Parvin and Hassan Daioleslam Senator Dianne Feinstein is announced as the keynote speaker of an upcoming event in Capitol Hill on US-Iran relations.1 (April 6th) Trita Parsi, the president of the National Iranian American Council (NIAC) will moderate the conference.
The Iranian Web of Influence in the United States
April 02, 2008
On March 21, 2008, the U.S. Commerce Department´s Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) announced its decision to penalize three Iranian-connected companies as "they knowingly exported three U.S. origin aircraft to Iran in violation of the Export Administration Regulations ("EAR"), and are preparing to re-export three additional U.S. origin aircraft to Iran in further violation of the EAR." 1 The principal firm among these is Balli Group PLC based in London.
NIE and Iranian internal politics
March 11, 2008
Since its release in December 2007, the National intelligence Estimate (NIE) on Iranian nuclear program has become the subject of political debate and fierce discussions.
Where in the World is the Moderate Ayatollah?
March 03, 2008
In the aftermath of National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) on Iran, the question of how to deal with Iran´s nuclear ambitions has become the center of debate among the experts.
Iran’s 2003 Grand Bargain Offer: Secrets, Lies, and Manipulation
December 19, 2007
In the past year, Iran has emerged as the main concern for United States foreign policy.
The Iranian Regime’s Lobby in US and the Israeli Decoy
October 17, 2007
President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, addressing the Qods Day (Jerusalem Day) celebration, which was commemorated on October 5 in Iran, suggested the settlement of Israeli Jews in big lands like Alaska or Canada.
Return from paradise in the left lane
October 01, 2007
In 2006, the Iran’s nuclear dossier was referred to the UN Security Council inaugurating a new era of confrontation between the clerical rulers and the international community.
Columbia president honored by Iranians
October 01, 2007
A cursory examination of Farsi web sites, blogs and chat rooms clearly shows the profound elation of the Iranians from the president Bullinger's introductory remarks about the mullah’s “petty dictator”. After one day of silence, the Iranian authorities started to show their anger and disbelief over the Columbia event.
Why Does Columbia host Ahmadinejad?
September 21, 2007
Why Does Columbia host Ahmadinejad? Mohammad Parvin and Hassan Daioleslam Iran's President Mahmood Ahmadinejad is scheduled to speak at Columbia University on Monday September 24th.
Congressman Kucinich Must Find a Better Role Model than Bob Ney
August 23, 2007
A Personal Note: I wholeheartedly believe that a US war against Iran will be a catastrophe of unbelievable dimensions.
Pro-Ayatollahs Disinformation and Manipulation Campaign by Washington Think Tankers
August 01, 2007
Foreword: The policy of United States on Iran over the past decade has been amalgamated with confusion and shortsightedness.

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